Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.136905 0.146756 0.157060 0.168663 0.181388 0.194942 0.210504
2025-09-21 0.114307 0.128355 0.143954 0.162655 0.184583 0.209630 0.240613
2025-09-28 0.100070 0.116349 0.135266 0.159075 0.188526 0.224144 0.271066
2025-10-05 0.093188 0.111556 0.133733 0.162843 0.200590 0.248654 0.315765
2025-10-12 0.087341 0.107114 0.131766 0.165301 0.210594 0.270949 0.359777
2025-10-19 0.081341 0.101762 0.127908 0.164560 0.215816 0.286875 0.396462
2025-10-26 0.076468 0.097362 0.124752 0.164201 0.221148 0.303040 0.435032
2025-11-02 0.071757 0.092759 0.120861 0.162303 0.223838 0.315293 0.468778
2025-11-09 0.066697 0.087305 0.115352 0.157542 0.221698 0.319782 0.490294
2025-11-16 0.062750 0.083120 0.111295 0.154492 0.221715 0.327373 0.517599
2025-11-23 0.059344 0.079476 0.107743 0.151860 0.222029 0.335272 0.546186
2025-11-30 0.057427 0.077825 0.106935 0.153262 0.228739 0.354191 0.596988
2025-12-07 0.054086 0.073994 0.102778 0.149311 0.226625 0.358287 0.621411
2025-12-14 0.050535 0.069699 0.097718 0.143633 0.221232 0.356225 0.633812
2025-12-21 0.047888 0.066619 0.094333 0.140415 0.219741 0.360980 0.660693
2025-12-28 0.046988 0.066110 0.094851 0.143571 0.229532 0.387470 0.737430
2026-01-04 0.045899 0.065245 0.094744 0.145645 0.237535 0.411435 0.813057
2026-01-11 0.044292 0.063494 0.093123 0.145009 0.240490 0.425763 0.869162
2026-01-18 0.042867 0.061958 0.091757 0.144702 0.243995 0.441538 0.931665
2026-01-25 0.041272 0.060079 0.089731 0.143087 0.244836 0.451816 0.982351
2026-02-01 0.039298 0.057515 0.086454 0.139033 0.240588 0.450746 1.003285
2026-02-08 0.037724 0.055533 0.084060 0.136433 0.239015 0.455343 1.040419
2026-02-15 0.036311 0.053758 0.081930 0.134188 0.237967 0.460974 1.081550